Publications

Each paper ships with its materials and a limitations section: what the result cannot claim, stated next to what it can.

• 2026Preprint

  Bridging the Green Tech Funding Gap: An AI-Driven Risk Assessment Framework — Evidence from the OBF project

  The transition to a sustainable economy relies heavily on innovative environmental technologies.

  AI and risk, Sustainable finance

• 2026Preprint

  Contract-Level Informational Efficiency in Prediction Markets: Measurable Ex Post, Not Predictable Ex Ante — Evidence from 244 Kalshi Markets

  I study informational efficiency at the level of the individual contract in prediction markets, using a frozen dataset of 244 resolved Kalshi markets (21 distinct events, 2024–2026) in high-emotion categories.

  Markets and trading